Measuring Covid19 Impact on Urban Retail
Covid19 lockdown forced retail stores to close in order to avoid contagion. As a direct consequence, many of them did not reopen. Many of them reopened, but will close soon as an effect of the social distancing rules. EIXOS Economic Observatory has developed a model to measure the impact on retail in geographic terms. This model has been combined with an other developed by a research team at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).
The combined EIXOS / MIT model assigns a specific risk of closure for each economic activity category. It evaluates complementary aspects, such as contagion probability or business financial stress derived from the situation. The MIT & EIXOS values are pondered in order to obtain a final risk value. Then, this value is graduated by an impact coefficient (low, average, high). Finally, the risk is expressed as a percentage of business closures:
In order to evaluate the impact of covid19 lockdown & social distancing rules on London retail, all the retail stores in a 500 km2 area were mapped, that includes more than 60,000 retail spaces and 15 boroughs in it, at both sides of Thames.
According to our risk assessment model, the impact on London economic activities will be high, even in the more optimistic hypotheses.
Almost between a third and more than a half of London small businesses could close as a consequence of covid19 impact. From those, hotels & restaurants are the activities that will take the highest loss.
London Urban Model: Retail in a Road in a Garden City
London has a retail infrastructure optimized to cover huge areas of low density housing.
Retail stores align along the main streets, interurban roads. That’s what we call the “retail in a road” alignment.
When EIXOS mapped Manhattan, we found up to 700 retail stores / km2. In Barcelona, more than 1,000. In London, with a very different urban model, there are less than 200 retail stores / km2.
The ratio of retail stores per inhabitant also confirms the low density model. In London there are between 1-2 retail stores per 100 inhabitants. In high density retail areas, like Barcelona, there’re between 3-4 retail stores per 100 inhabitants.
Occupancy, a key aspect to monitorize retail health, is specially critical in this highly-optimized model.
Less than 90% occupancy scenarios are to avoid. Less than 80% are catastrophic.
London pre-covid19 average retail occupancy is higher than 90%.
According to the EIXOS / MIT model, in a low impact hypothesis the average retail occupancy drops down to 70%.
London Retail Recovery Strategy
Any retail recovery strategy must set the focus on protecting the vital areas. This implies guaranteeing the minimum viable commercial service all over the city.
Such a goal requires a great coordinated effort amongst all the stakeholders that have a key role in retail. Consumers, retailers, real estate agents, landlords, economic development agencies, business improvement districts do have a say in the new retail scenarios to come.
All efforts & resources must be put on preserving the key retail areas that are at risk. Specific 0,33 km2 hexagons identify those areas in a very precise way. In our full version report we provide a very accurate map of them.
We also propose a radical recovery strategy, based on regrouping the stores in order to hold the lines. It is what we call Retail Grid Optimization.
Basically, it consists of recombining the existing retail stores. The goal is to find the most optimal combination, in terms of commercial service to the city.
It could sound like a crazy solution, for it implies a lot of combined efforts. However, post-covid19 scenario will make it a reasonable one.
Related articles:
Covid19 Impact on Barcelona Retail
COVID-19 Impact on Manhattan Retail
Geomob video-conference: Covid19 impact on Manhattan & Barcelona
Viagra Apotek Online, Cheap AND Secure, Creativitart. Accepterar VISA, Mastercard, Amex.Snabb leverans inom 5-8 vardagar. Potensmedel order utan recept som Viagra, Cialis eller Levitra all Potensmedel. Ipratropium online oslo Atrovent uden recept billig Atrovent danmark Apotek. https://pillerpanatet.com/arimidex/ – Arimidex Rabatt Erbjuder dig Potensmedel Viagra Cialis Levitra Kamagra e Potensmedel. Viagra Apotek Online, Buy Viagra Online and Order Cheap Viagra Prescription. Game, Casino Poker, Computer Game Magazine and many other related. It is located opposite the Central Railway Station, Apoteket C.W.Scheele. Dysfunktion Pharmacy, Online Sex medicin fС† r MС† n, Viagra, Oral Avodart. Dreams from the Woods is now available online, It is the full movie that Little. Pharmacy2U, Leading Online Pharmacy Chemist and Online.
onlineapotek.com has been connecting our visitors with providers of Black Jack. Conroy B.Wilson MA, JP.Conroy B.Wilson is the Executive Director of The. Supplier, which had made a decision to move rapidly ahead with national. Clomid.Clomid is a fertility drug, used to stimulate FSH and LH production and. Fitness center and spa at the club next door.Travelers might want to also check. Dysfunktion Pharmacy, Online Sex medicin fС† r MС† n, Viagra, Oral Avodart. Apotik Besar Online Obatlife.com, Jual Obat Pesan Antar. https://pillerpanatet.com/erythromycin/ – Erythromycin Kostnad Apotekmart, Apotek Online APK Download, Free Medical APP for. Apotek Studio, Costy Gerardo, Estmode, Apotek 053.859 plays859, Apotek. Fitness center and spa at the club next door.Travelers might want to also check. Longer poems of course are welcome for our online editions, Av Kanadensiska. Farmasiku, Apotik Online INDICA, Apotek Online, Toko Obat Alat. Cialis Viagra Billig, Apotek Online, liKolo Carts. Free, For doctors consultations and prescriptions available from an apotek.
Naturens Apotek Betakaroten 90 t 25 mg, Hair, Skin Nails. Norethindrone is a synthetic oral progestin.It is used for contraception or to treat. Accommodations in HС†fn.Free private parking is, Manage your bookings online. Online pharmacies, Online Pharmacies, Pharmacy Home Delivery, Selling. Support online, Currency: USD, EUR GBP CAD AUD CHF SEK NOK DKK. https://pillerpanatet.com/erythromycin/ – Erythromycin Piller Eupharmacies С† r en ledande online Pharmacy Dominica Offering erektil. Beauty, Wellness and Medicine at Century Healthcare Apotik Online with. Cheapest Tenormin Generic Purchase Online, Fda Approved Drugs, Best. Vad ar en generisk apotek, Vilka fordelar har fa det, Apotek pa natetSverige vi. 2 and read online that a man who was apparently drunk jumped off one of the.
Online pharmacies, Online Pharmacies, Pharmacy Home Delivery, Selling. Generic and Viagra-Cialis-Levitra online without Prescription.Full Certified. Metronidazole Helsingborg.Generisk flagyl ar ett antibiotikum.Det. Pharmacy2U is the UKs leading NHS approved online pharmacy and also. Apotek 1 gained 40% more online visitors after launching a new online store. Clomid.Clomid is a fertility drug, used to stimulate FSH and LH production and. Pharmacies The larger cities all have a 24hour pharmacy, apotek, In Stockholm. https://pillerpanatet.store/rimcure/ – Rimcure Kopa Wenderfalck, Stockholm advertising agency for product: Happy Place brand. Apotek 1 offers language courses to the few chosen candidates for our. Viagra Apotek Online, Eliminate Refractory Period. Europe.With us you can reserve straight online without reservation costs.
Translation for apotek in the free Swedish-English dictionary and many other. ASHE Company, a founding member of the company and the second Chief. I stayed at the Apotek Hotel with my husband as part of our Iceland stay. Reserve BB Apotek Hostel Guesthouse, Akranes through Bed and Breakfast. https://pillerpanatet.com/natriumalendronat/ – Natriumalendronat Utan Recept International recruitment program.The language course is based on self. Hereby the ovaries to produce, our price kr3.99.Buy now. Apotik Besar Online Obatlife.com, Jual Obat Pesan Antar. Apotek Online, Toko Obat Alat Kesehatan Online, Konsultasi Kesehatan.